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Same Macro, Two Portfolios: What UBP and Robeco Are Doing Differently Right Now
Markets keep advancing despite the macro, UBP explains why, Robeco builds a hedge.
Jun 13
•
Eelco Ubbels
6
3
3 Asset Managers Read the Same Earnings Data. Nobody Reduced Equity Because of It
Pictet upgrades. Federated holds. Northern Trust warns. The consensus is moving, and the gap between analysis and positioning says more than the…
Jun 6
•
Eelco Ubbels
3
8
AI Lifts Stocks, Hormuz Pressures Bonds: The June Consensus, the Signal, and the 68 Reports Behind It
The equity consensus held firm in the June TAA Consensus. Hormuz and AI are pulling in opposite directions — so far only one is moving the needle. All…
Jun 5
•
Eelco Ubbels
3
12
May 2026
The Gulf Is Not the Only Risk
Four managers, four independent reports — one conclusion on where to shelter, but sharp disagreement on what comes next.
May 30
•
Eelco Ubbels
4
9
From Chatbot to Portfolio Weight — AI Moves Closer to the Asset Allocation Decision
Most AI sceptics are running one prompt and calling it a test. Three institutional signals suggest the real question is what happens after the fifth…
May 25
•
Eelco Ubbels
3
10
Sell in May still exists — not in markets, but in the minds of strategists
Twelve years of Asset Allocation Consensus data show that strategists and CIOs follow the "Sell in May" pattern without saying so out loud. Behaviour…
May 19
•
Eelco Ubbels
11
15
UBP raises cash, Invesco shifts 9 positions, Federated Hermes takes profit on TIPS — what the 2026 winners are doing while everyone watches…
Four award winners published between 2 and 29 April 2026. Their shared thesis: the oil shock is temporary. Where they disagree is what that means for…
May 12
•
Eelco Ubbels
4
10
TAA Consensus — April 2026
Energy hits overweight, the consensus jumps on a train that has already run 33%.
May 7
•
Eelco Ubbels
2
9
April 2026
Four Asset Managers Read the Same Data. Only One Touched Credit.
Brent is up 58%. Credit spreads have barely moved. One of those numbers is wrong.
Apr 24
•
Eelco Ubbels
4
12
Risk-on with a finger on the trigger
No allocator says they're positioned defensively. The positions tell a different story. Based on the Alpha Research Asset Allocation Consensus Premium…
Apr 21
•
Eelco Ubbels
2
6
AI is everywhere in the portfolio — except where the decision is made
AI is reshaping every layer of the investment process. Except the one that decides how capital is allocated.
Apr 16
•
Eelco Ubbels
4
1
8
The Consensus Was Right. The Map Was Wrong.
The commodity overweight was built on PMI data and Chinese growth. Then the Strait of Hormuz closed. Same position, different world.
Apr 3
•
Eelco Ubbels
7
7
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